- RSS FeedSubscribe
- « Previous PostA La Carte (8/7)
- Next Post »Free Stuff Fridays
The Housing Boom and Bust
- 08/07/09
- 15
At a time of global economic crisis, in all of the talk of a subset of that crisis, the housing boom and bust, it is easy to lose sight of the fact that the cause of that bust is so very simple. “Behind all the esoteric securities and sophisticated financial dealings are simple, monthly mortgage payments from millions of home buyers across the country.” When the housing payments slowed or stopped, sometimes by necessity and sometimes by choice, the boom turned to a bust. Real estate markets that had seen an unparalleled explosion of growth suddenly saw a catastrophic fall. Behind all the talk of stimulus and bailouts and increasing billions and trillions of dollars is normal people unable to make their $1000 or $2000 monthly mortgage payments.
In The Housing Boom and Bust, conservative economist Thomas Sowell looks to the housing bust and asks the simple, bedrock question: Why did so many monthly mortgage payments stop coming? His answer is as simple as it is lucid. The mortgage payments stopped coming in because during the housing boom, a time where interest rates were at historic lows, mortgages had been given to people whose prospects of repaying them were, at best, very poor. While the banks deserve some of the blame, they were in fact forced to hand out risky loans by government policies that imposed arbitrary quotas set by people whose concern was far more political than economic. These people, in the name of affordable housing and under the banner of political correctness, demanded that loans be provided to people who, under normal circumstances, could not afford them. This pressure caused financial institutions to hand increasingly “creative” (read: risky) mortgages to increasingly risky (read: poor) clients. When normal times resumed and interest rates rose, so too did payments. When payments rose, they became unaffordable and millions of people simply walked away, unable or unwilling to cover the new costs. “Why pay a $500,000 mortgage on a $300,000 home?”, they reasoned. Faced with a glut of foreclosures, banks began to offer homes at fire-sale prices, driving down costs across the market. The bubble burst, the banks began to fail and the government began printing vast quantities of money to stimulate the economy and to bail out the banks. The story continues.
In just 148 pages, Sowell explains where this crisis came from and the events that caused it all to come to a head. Along the way he powerfully exposes the cause of rising housing costs and the folly of affordable housing. As he has done repeatedly elsewhere, he exposes the fallacy of racism in lending institutions, showing that much of the blame must be laid at the feet of politicians. “Politicians in Washington set out to solve a national problem that did not exist—a nationwide shortage of ‘affordable housing’—and have now left us with a problem whose existence is as undeniable as it is painful.” Of course Sowell also proposes a way out of the mess and those who know him will not be surprised to learn that he lobbies for laissez-faire, allowing the economy to sort itself out without massive government intervention.
As he looks to the government’s reaction to the crisis, Sowell’s predominant concern is that the government, led by President Obama, will follow the words of chief of staff Rahm Emanuel, who said, “You never want a serious crisis to go to waste. … it’s an opportunity to do things you could not do before.” The government has an almost unparalleled opportunity to use this crisis to “fundamentally and enduringly change the institutions of American society.” Yet the reality is that, for all their flaws, these institutions have had an incredibly successful track record over the past two centuries, this crisis notwithstanding. “What is now being proposed is to jettison all that for the sake of untried theories, because of an economic situation that has arisen in a relatively few years as a result of government interventions with a terrible track record that have led to a crisis that now provides an opportunity for more of the same—in the name of ‘change’.” As the government increases its control over the American economy it essentially buys up the freedom of its people with their own tax dollars.
In The Housing Boom a Bust Sowell provides a plain-English explanation of the economic disaster and one that anyone can read, understand and enjoy. Though the book must have been written in a hurry, it shows none of the usual marks; instead, it is well-written and well-edited. Published just a couple of months ago but dealing with today’s issues, it reads almost like a newspaper or magazine article. If you, like me, have tried and failed to understand the cause of the crisis, this is the place to begin. Sowell is a steady and trustworthy guide.

I am a follower of Jesus Christ, a husband to Aileen and a father to three young children. I worship and serve as a pastor at
Releasing on April 1, The Next
Comments (15)
Sooner or later it had to happen. But here is the thing that gets me. 40 years ago a man could raise a family on a modest wage , a laborer if you will , afford a home and have enough to save for his kids education and retirement. The housing market has been taken over by greedy Realtors and developers . Plus you have people compelled by money to flip homes driven by profit , and there by driving up the value of the surrounding homes but sooner or later the market had to begin to adjust itself . Greed unchecked has led to this mess and that is by the banks , developers and individuals. In fact having talked to a real estate agent , she has felt that most properties are at least 20% over priced and I concur. My grandfather , God rest his soul , who lived through the great depression and WW2 said to me just a few years before his death that he would rather live through those times and try to raise a family then in today’s society. As he saw it , the world has lost its sense of community and greed and look out for no.1 dominates all aspects of life .
Some of the statistics about house flippers and speculators is incredible—the percentage of homes (in certain areas) that were clearly bought without any intention of actually living there. I suspect, though, that those days are done. The speculators got hit as hard as anyone, and maybe harder since they had many properties and many mortgages.
”..their $1000 or $2000 monthly mortgage payments.”
In Maryland those payments would be welcomed. I believe we have much higher monthly mortgage payments, much higher.
Thomas Sowell is terrific. Why doesn’t Chairman Obama go to him for counsel? If I were president he would be first on my list.
Mr Schofield seems to be saying that forty year ago, labourers could afford more than they can now, with house ownership common then among the same class who are struggling now. I disagree: forty years ago, a labourer could not afford a home on a modest wage.
I am not fully aware of the situation in America, but only here in Britain, where we have had a similar, but much less dramatic, effect. The situation with house ownership here is that it is rising sharply. Back in the 60s, very few people owned their own houses: they could not afford to buy something so expensive (http://www.parliament.uk/commons/lib/research/rp99/rp99-111.pdf see page 12). Over the years, for various reasons, the luxury of ownership as opposed to renting has become vastly more common as we have increased in wealth, and I suspect the situation in America is the same. Things are not getting worse in absolute terms, rather we are over the decades raising the bar for a ‘decent quality of life’. The problem is precisely when we put things like house ownership down on the list of essentials and try to force those who cannot afford it to buy.
The deeper problem is in demanding things which we can afford financially, but not while still being fair and equitable with other countries, or our stewardship of the environment. The challenge culturally is to rebuild the attitude we have in church of seeing every day and product as a gift, not a right, and foster a joy for fasting and abstention.
Consumerism driven by greed could be one of the reasons, along with the societal pitfalls of “gotta be on of them”. Another interesting Christian blog which I also came across is www.reaching-god.com
Nicholas- I can only comment on what I know in my area of Nova Scotia , Canada . But I assure you I could line up my Dad’s friends and have them talk about buying a home , paying for groceries and needs of life on a salary based on labor jobs. Perhaps they were not well off but the amount of money they paid out of their pay to meet their needs was smaller. I realize that this may not have held true in all areas . Certain areas housing was more expensive but in my little area of the valley a full time grocery clerk could afford a basic home . I know because we used to shop at the store he worked. Plus when I say modest wage I saying what would be comparable today of a person earning 25 to 30 grand. Take for example a house my parents almost bought back in 78 has risen in value almost 15 times in value . If I put that to the wages of the plant my Dad worked , the increase would be about 5 times higher. But here is thing as well . We rent and do not have the ability to save to purchase but if we could our mortgage would be less , the place nicer and we would be building equity . I hate the fact every month I pay into someone else pocket an amount that he/she are using to build income.
Reg I’m a realtor and I never saw myself as greedy, buyers are the blame in many cases I’m not the one who approved mortgages! and I have been hit hard by this market I never lied to a client or ever did anything underhanded! Now we have a buyers market for those who have the money. I have sold houses that were listed for over 400,000 go for 250,000 and 300,000 go 180,000. In my community people are bottom fishing, and the banks have a glut of foreclosures and are having to let them go cheap. I feel bad that someones loss becomes someones gain we are paid by forclosure companies to do CMA ‘s on homes slipping into foreclosure which requires us to go to the homes and take pictures and walk the property, I refuse, I just can’t do that when I see people in the yard and kids playing outside. Its tough for everyone and I suspect if Obama gets his way it will get worse.Mike
Mike- I did not intend to offend , I know many honest hard working Realtors and I should have worded it better. Plus no question greed plays a part on the buyers side as well . I know of someone that all they did was try and buy a house , touch it up and flip it , barely doing anything to it but basic cosmetics and got almost 45 % increase in the selling of it. That was a problem that has come to an end for sure.
Reg I was just reacting I’ve heard this quite a bit they had an article a while back in our local news paper blaming realtors. I have some good christian freinds with families right now on the verge of forclosure and its not because they were greedy or speculating its because of job loss and other circumstances relate to the economy.Mike
Mike- I understand . Sometimes all sides generalize a bit too much . Greed has played a part but then as you pointed out , job loss or pay cuts etc..play a huge role as well . May we as Christians intently pray for those families under the stress of those circumstances and help in a real tangible way if we can . These are difficult times .
I see that a few of the blogs I go to off tims blog are from canada. I would be curious as to what you feel about your health care, since its always being talked about here in the states and as you know a big debate. Imean are you killing off the old folks or what.Mike
The pope’s latest encyclical is an interesting read on the economic problems of the world today:
http://www.vatican.va/holy_father/benedict_xvi/encyclicals/documents/hf_ben-xvi_enc_20090629_caritas-in-veritate_en.html
God Bless,
Men who have had their jobs moved to China or India can not pay mortgages..or buy cars.
The greedy that love the cheap foreign goods are fine with the displacement of industry and technology so they can save $20 on a DVD.
A recent study shows that men who’s jobs disappeared 10 years ago are still not making as much money as they did 10 years ago.
It is a slippery slope that sooner or later touches everyone..
lower income means smaller revenue for the government in taxes and more social spending..thus more borrowing and Larger national deficits and larger trade deficits..
We become the puppet of a godless communist country for a few shekels to cover the greed of the wealthy and powerful.
We witness the judgement of God on our nation
Terry-
I’m not paying $20 more for a DVD in order to subsidize a U.S. citizen when there’s someone willing to work for less elsewhere.
If I’m a CEO and I refuse to offshore when doing so would benefit my bottom line, without impacting quality, then I’m doing my shareholders *and customers* a disservice.
You decry communism. I take that to imply you support free markets. Free markets = outsourcing labor when it makes sense to do so.
JPM
Just be willing to pay the full real cost of off shoring American jobs.
Taxpayers subsidized the move of most of those companies.. was that communism?
We send dollars to a communist country and a country that wants to become the major power and (India)that kills missionaries
Seems to me there was once a man that asked if he was his brothers keeper and another who asked which one was the good neighbor?
As long as you are willing to lose money on the value of your home, and savings with stagflation and to pay an increasing tax burden to cover those cheap DVDs It is between you and God